Servicing

The share of delinquent loans that roll into foreclosure status has skyrocketed recently, but MBA chief economist Jay Brinkmann says he is uncertain if the trend will continue. The most recent quarterly data from the MBA showed a slight decline in the roll rate, though it remains elevated by historical standards. Today, about 35% of loans that are 30-days past due during one quarter are subject to foreclosure proceedings in the following quarter. During the 1990s, the roll rate fell in a range of between 10% and 15%. In a conference call with reporters, Mr. Brinkmann said that high roll rates in California and Florida, as well as in Nevada and Arizona, are driving the dramatic national increase. In recent quarters, roll rates in California and Florida have exceeded 60%. In most areas of the country, including the economically struggling industrial Midwest, the increase in roll rates has been less dramatic. "I don't know if the rest of the country is going to follow more of a Michigan example or how much closer we are going to be to the California model," Mr. Brinkmann said.

First American CoreLogic's LoanPerformance Home Price Index, based on November and early December home price data, found national housing prices fell 10.6% for the full year 2008, which it said is the largest decline in more than 30 years. November's decline was 10.2% compared to a year earlier and early December preview data suggest declines continued in the 10 percent-plus range last month. Since peaking in 2004, home prices have fallen 18.5% and are now at the same levels where they were in spring of 2004. Full year 2008 prices fell in 35 states, with California leading the way with a 26.9% decline, followed by Nevada (-22.8%), Arizona (-19%), Florida (-18.2%), and Rhode Island (-13.7%). Since home prices peaked in July 2006, home prices in California have declined 42% on a cumulative basis since their most recent peak, followed closely by Nevada (39%). Prices in Arizona and Florida have declined by 33% cumulatively. First American CoreLogic said in 2008 the number of total unique foreclosure filings increased to 3.4 million, up 76 percent from 1.9 million in 2007 and more than triple the 1.1 million filings in 2006. "Collateral risk continues to depress the housing market with the top four states for price depreciation accounting for nearly half of all outstanding foreclosures. But economic risk is also rapidly rising: California, Nevada and Rhode Island stand out as being among the top 10 states for both price depreciation and highest unemployment. Until home prices and economic activity stabilize, mortgage distress will remain high," said Mark Fleming, chief economist for First American CoreLogic.

While remaining steadfast in their opposition to "cramdowns," the Mortgage Bankers Association acknowledges that supporters are gaining momentum and the trade group has outlined parameters it would like to see included in legislation that would allow bankruptcy judges to reduce the secured portion of a mortgage loan. In a conference call with reporters, MBA representatives said a bill that allows bankruptcy judges to alter the contractual terms of a mortgage should limit the discretion judges have to reduce principal, lower rates or extend terms on a mortgage. MBA chairman David Kittle said that if Congress does go this route, cramdowns should only be allowed after a "waterfall" of other loss mitigation options have been exhausted, including repayment plans, loan modifications, an extension of terms and principal deferral. He also proposed that cramdowns be limited to subprime loans originated during the peak of the housing boom and that cramdown relief should be temporary. "We need to set a permanent sunset date after which judges will no longer have this extraordinary power to alter the terms of a mortgage," Mr. Kittle said, noting that two thirds of bankruptcy repayment plans fail, in which case the borrower typically loses their home to foreclosure anyway. Steve O'Connor, MBA's senior vice president of government affairs, acknowledged that "clearly there is political momentum" favoring supporters of cramdown relief. "We recognize the realities of the landscape. And if in fact cramdowns are implemented, we think there should be some constraints to limit damage to the marketplace."

Freddie Mac may need to make a second draw on the U.S. Treasury Department line of credit - this time for $30 billion to $35 billion - to maintain a positive net worth as it closes its books on the fourth quarter, according to a securities filing by the company. "This estimate is preliminary and based on unaudited information," Freddie spokesman Michael Cosgrove said. 'The actual amount of the draw may differ materially from this estimate as we go through our internal and external process for preparing and finalizing our financial results," he said. Treasury granted Freddie and Fannie Mae each a $100 billion line of credit under a senior preferred stock purchase agreement when the mortgage giants were placed in conservatorships. Freddie secured a $13.8 billion draw after reporting its third quarter results. In the same filing, Freddie said it has reached an agreement with JPMorgan Chase on the servicing of Freddie-guaranteed loans at Washington Mutual, which the New York bank recently acquired. "JPMorgan Chase has agreed to make a one-time payment to Freddie Mac with respect to obligations of Washington Mutual to repurchase any of such mortgages that are inconsistent with certain representations and warranties," Freddie said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

BancorpSouth, Tupelo, Miss., saw its earnings trimmed by a $16.3 million writedown in the value of its mortgage servicing rights during the fourth quarter. The bank valued its MSRs at $25 million, or 82 basis points of the outstanding balance. On the bright side, BancorpSouth said mortgage lending revenue, excluding the servicing impairment, rose 20% from the prior year period to $4.1 million during the fourth quarter. CEO Aubrey Patterson said that despite MSR impairment, the sharp drop in interest rates during the fourth quarter presents an ongoing opportunity to increase mortgage lending revenue through refinancing and home purchase originations. The servicing hit and smaller writedowns to investment securities trimmed earnings-per-share by 18 cents. The bank reported EPS of $0.20 for the fourth quarter.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said enacting a bankruptcy provision to help struggling homeowners modify their mortgages is a "very high priority" and wants to pass a bill soon. But the California Democrat indicated the $825 billion economic stimulus bill may be moving too fast to insert a bankruptcy provision. The House is expected to vote on the massive bill next week. "We have a housing bill. We will have other legislation, or a free standing bill, but we will get it done," Ms. Pelosi said at a press conference. At a House Judiciary Committee hearing, several Democratic members spoke in favor of attaching a bankruptcy bill to the economic stimulus package. However, the Obama administration wants to include a bankruptcy provision in a housing bill that will provide foreclosure relief. The mortgage industry continues to oppose a broad bankruptcy bill that would allow judges to reduce or cram down the principal amount of a mortgage.

The Senate late Thursday unanimously confirmed Shaun Donovan to be the nation's new housing secretary in the Obama Administration. The former New York City housing commissioner worked at the Department of Housing and Urban Development as a deputy assistant secretary for multifamily housing during the Clinton administration. At his confirmation hearing, Mr. Donovan noted that originations of Federal Housing Administration-backed single-family loans have tripled over the past year. FHA has "capacity issues that require immediate attention," he said. The General Accountability Office released its new list of high-risk agencies on Thursday and it did not include FHA. FHA was removed from the GAO list in 2007. The HUD nominee has pledged to undertake strong enforcement of fair housing laws and to make management reform at HUD a "high priority."

Fannie Mae, which has been operating under a government conservatorship since September, has laid off hundreds of workers over the past four weeks, according to sources both inside and outside the mortgage investing giant. At press time, a Fannie Mae source confirmed that "hundreds" of layoffs have occurred but said the company is beefing up its foreclosure and loss mitigation efforts -- particularly in its Dallas office -- and hopes to end 2009 with as many employees as it had in 2008. The GSE issued a statement saying it is "taking steps to realign the company's organization, personnel and resources to focus on our most critical priorities, which include preventing foreclosures to help keep people in their homes and aiding in the recovery." Among the known job cuts, said one individual, are reductions in government affairs, communications, marketing, and technology. "They can't lobby any more so what's the point in having a government affairs division?" said the individual. Freddie Mac also has been quietly laying of workers with more cuts on the way, said one mortgage executive close to the company. "This shouldn't be surprising to anyone," he said.

The Seatle-based ForeclosurePoint.com says over 60,000 investors, homebuyers and real estate professionals are now members of the website, which provides free access to full street addresses of more than 3 million foreclosure filings in the U.S. The company launched its free national service six months ago. The site offers information to identify foreclosure home-buying opportunities, including properties available through short sales, auctions and REOs. Buyers can search for properties by state, county, or zip code and see exact home locations, default filing dates, estimated property values, satellite images and other details. Once members find properties that interest them, ForeclosurePoint can connect buyers and investors with real estate agents who specialize in foreclosure and bank-owned properties. "Foreclosures represent the majority of inventory in many markets," said Dennis Green, general manager of ForeclosurePoint, a service of DepotPoint, Inc. "Buyer interest in foreclosure properties is high, but there is still a lack of transparency in this market which affects a buyer's ability to acquire distressed properties."

House speaker Nancy Pelosi said enacting a bankruptcy provision to help struggling homeowners modify their mortgages is a "very high priority" and she wants to pass it soon. But the California Democrat indicated the $825 billion economic stimulus bill may be moving too fast to insert a bankruptcy provision. The House is expected to vote on the massive bill next week. "We have a housing bill. We will have other legislation, or a free standing bill, but we will get it done," Ms. Pelosi said at a press conference. At a House Judiciary Committee hearing, several Democratic members spoke in favor of attaching a bankruptcy bill to the economic stimulus package. However, the Obama administration wants to include a bankruptcy provision in a housing bill that will provide foreclosure relief. The mortgage industry continues to oppose a broad bankruptcy bill would allow judges to reduce or cram down the principal amount of a mortgage.