Credit Suisse: Mega Banks Facing 40% Losses on GSE Buybacks

The nation's mega banks and other depositories repurchased roughly $30 billion in residential mortgages from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the second-half of 2009 and will suffer losses of up to 40% on the loans, according to a new report from Credit Suisse. Penned by CS analyst Moshe Orenbuch, the report notes that repurchase volumes are accelerating and will "remain elevated in 2010 and moderate thereafter." Mr. Orenbuch estimates that large cap banks followed by CS account for roughly 88% of the $30 billion in buybacks. Among this universe of large caps, he told National Mortgage News, is Wells Fargo & Co., Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup -- all of which have acknowledged buyback problems in earnings reports. The analyst said the loans being repurchased are "likely to be delinquent and/or deficient" and include what he called "differentiated" products, meaning alt-A, interest only mortgages and payment option ARMs. But there is some good news in the report: "given the bulk of the repurchases are from the 2007 vintage, we would expect repurchase demands to moderate in 2011, as the quality of industry originations strengthened during 2008."