Executive: Without Agencies, TBA Market Will Suffer

Eliminating or downsizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would cripple the TBA (to-be-announced) market, which provides a quick and cost-efficient mechanism for issuing mortgage-backed securities, according to an executive at JPMorgan Chase. Speaking at the American Securitization Forum meeting in Washington, JPM senior vice president Garry Cipponeri told attendees that without TBA, "We would be in big trouble." Mr. Cipponeri, during a panel discussion on the future of the GSEs, said mortgage rates would be 150 basis points higher without Fannie/Freddie and the TBA market. Also speaking on the panel was former GSE regulator James Lockhart who noted that MBS issued by Fannie and Freddie today will be backed by the government forever. "We are going to have to create a new security going forward that does reproduce the TBA," said Mr. Lockhart. "That is going to take time and it is going to take capital." Meanwhile, Wellington Denahan-Norris, a top executive for Annaly Capital Management told the ASF audience that the private label MBS market "will not come back for a long time." MetLife managing director Nancy Mueller Handal said servicing issues and the rights of first and second lien holders need to be resolved for the private label MBS market to recover. "Without a clear solution to lien holder rights, it is going to be difficult to invest," said the MetLife executive.