Fed Loan Officer Survey Sees More Bad News

Bank loan officers expect to see continued deterioration in their residential and commercial real estate mortgage portfolios for the rest of this year, according to a periodic survey conducted by the Federal Reserve. The survey of senior loan officers shows that 78% of 50 banks expect delinquencies and charge-offs on prime single-family loans will increase "somewhat" and three are bracing for substantial deterioration. Only 14 banks expect loan quality to stabilize and only two expect some improvement. More than 90% of the banks surveyed see continued deterioration in the performance of CRE loans. Only four banks said loan quality should stabilize or improve. Meanwhile, loan officers reported a "substantial" increase in demand for prime mortgages since the last survey in January. However, demand for CRE loans continue to weaken to the lowest level since 1995 when the Fed first started asking survey questions about CRE lending.