NABE Expects a Boom in Housing Starts Next Year

Housing starts will increase by 36% next year and the housing sector will contribute to economic growth for the first time since 2005, according to the November survey by the National Association of Business Economics. The 48 professional forecasters see housing starts hitting 790,000 units in 2010, which is up from 580,000 in 2009. The economists also expect house prices will bottom out this year and rise 2% in 2010. "When asked what factors were driving the housing rebound, panelists identified low house prices and interest rates as the two most important factors," a summary of the survey results says. The economists are forecasting that the 10-year Treasury note will yield 4.2% by the end of 2010 and the unemployment rate will average 9.6% in the fourth quarter of 2010. The unemployment rate is expected to "remain stubbornly higher." However, hiring is expected to pick up soon. "Within the next few months, companies should be adding instead of cutting jobs," said NABE president Lynn Reaser.