NAR: Declining Home Inventory a Good Sign

Even though existing-home sales fell 7.2% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.05 million units, the inventory of available homes is continuing to shrink, a sign that housing values might be stabilizing, according to the National Association of Realtors. In January inventory fell 0.5% to 3.27 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace. In December the number was better (a 7.2-month supply) but NAR says "raw unsold inventory" is 9.6% below a year ago, and is at the lowest level since March 2006. "Activity should be picking up strongly in late spring as buyers take advantage of the tax credit, which is critical to absorb distressed properties reaching the market and to continually chip away at inventory," said NAR. The January existing home sale figure compares to a downwardly revised pace of 5.44 million in December. The results, the weakest since June, were worse than many housing economists had forecast. Mr. Yun admitted that the sales numbers are "not good." The trade group hopes that sales will spike this spring as consumers move to take advantage of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit which is set to expire in late April. The median sales price was $164,700, unchanged from a year earlier and down 3.4% from December.

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