Merrill Lynch & Co. may take additional writedowns of up to $15 billion on its collateralized debt obligations and subprime investments when it announces earnings next week, according to various analyst reports. Merrill, which is slated to announce earnings Jan. 17, would not comment on the reports. (In the third quarter, it took a $7.9 billion hit on CDOs and subprime assets.) According to a note put out by Sandler O'Neill, many "wild cards" exist for Merrill. "Estimating CDO/subprime writedowns is quite subjective given the range of marks we have seen from peers," said Sandler. "Our current estimate of $10 billion represents an estimated markdown to $0.40 on the dollar from [Merrill's] starting exposure levels. While this markdown is arguably quite aggressive, certain peers have been even more aggressive in putting these issues behind them. For example, we estimate that Morgan Stanley marked its exposure in the range of $0.25 on the dollar." Sandler said if Merrill takes a $15 billion charge in the fourth quarter, "this would represent a net writedown to approximately $0.22 on the dollar."
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The increasing frequency and severity of droughts was top of mind for panelists at AmeriCatalyst's "Going to Extremes" conference Thursday.
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In a Senate hearing, Director Sandra Thompson said a raise to the required income threshold provided to affordable housing was on the table, while housing regulators also faced questions related to property insurance hikes and title insurance waivers.
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The nonpayment rate for non-qualified mortgages is up 21 basis points from February and 134 basis points from March 2023, Morningstar DBRS said.
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The government mortgage-bond guarantor will require additional information on foreclosure prevention actions, and retire some forbearance reporting.
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But views are split, at least in the near-term on whether rising mortgage rates are holding back the Spring home purchase season.
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The top five producers had an average dollar volume of FHA loans of more than $50 million in 2023.
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