Refinancing Application Surge May Reflect Rate Rise Nudging Borrowers

An increase in the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate for the first time in over a month during the week ending Dec. 4 could be responsible for an increase in refinance applications during the period, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey. A rate rise sometimes causes a rush to refinance as borrowers may see it as a sign rates are rising and they need to lock in immediately. A relative improvement in unemployment put upward pressure on rates Dec. 4. During that week, the MBA's Market Composite Index, a measure of overall mortgage loan application volume, increased 8.5% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 54% compared with the previous week, which was a shortened week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. The Refinance Index increased 11.1% from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 4% from one week earlier. The increase in purchase applications reflected a 10% increase in applications for government mortgages and a 0.2% decrease in conventional mortgage applications, both on a seasonally adjusted basis. The share of refinance activity increased to 74.4% of total applications, up from 72.1% the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity decreased to 4.7% from 4.8%. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, which for the previous week was at its lowest point since May of this year, increased from 4.79% to 4.88%, with points increasing to 1.17 from 1.00 (including the origination fee) for loans with an 80% percent loan-to-value ratio, the association reported. The increase ended a run of six consecutive weeks of decline in the average rate. The average contract interest rate for 15-year FRMs came off of its lowest point ever increasing by 6 basis points, to 4.33%. For one-year adjustable-rate loans, rates decreased by 1 bp to 6.55%. The MBA stopped disclosing index values with the July 31 data release. The MBA can be found online at http://www.mortgagebankers.org.