San Jose, Calif. is the most likely metropolitan area to see a decline in home prices in the United States, according to The PMI Risk Index.PMI Mortgage Insurance Co., the Walnut Creek, Calif.-based mortgage insurer that created the index, uses it as one of its tools to assess and manage risk levels in its own portfolio. As of October, the index value of the top 50 largest metropolitan areas was 162, meaning these cities have on average a 16.2% probability of experiencing a home price decline in the next two years. The index for San Jose is 437. The other cities at the top of the scale are Portland Ore.-Vancouver, Wash. at 370; Detroit, 306; Seattle-Bellevue, Everett, Wash., 297; and Dallas, 297. At the other end of the scale are Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif., 63; Nassau-Suffolk (Long Island), N.Y., 74; Baltimore, 74; Las Vegas, 79; and Miami, 83.
