Treasury bonds

Treasury yields climbed to the highest in more than two months, following losses in most global government-bond markets, ahead of a Federal Reserve interest-rate decision that may alter expectations for monetary policy in 2026.

While the tone is still generally upbeat, the market is mired below October's price highs and yields are range-bound. 

Yields were higher by as much as three basis points, led by tenors more sensitive to changes in Fed policy.

Treasuries fell after the US government signaled that larger auction sizes are on the horizon, while signs of economic resilience hurt the odds a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut in December.

In its so-called quarterly refunding statement Wednesday, the Treasury department said it anticipated keeping auction sizes unchanged for nominal notes, bonds and floating-rate notes, "for at least the next several quarters."

Wall Street dealers expect Bessent to signal as soon as Wednesday, when his department releases a quarterly statement on debt sales, that issuance in the $30 trillion Treasury market will keep shifting in that direction.

The shutdown started with a flight into treasury bonds, putting downward pressure on financing costs, but several other developments slowed mortgage activity.

The US 30-year yield climbed as much as four basis points to 4.999% on Wednesday before stabilizing.

US Treasuries retained most of their recent gains as anticipation of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts held firm after the central bank's preferred gauge of inflation matched economist estimates.

President Donald Trump's unprecedented and escalating attack on the Federal Reserve runs the risk of backfiring by hitting financial markets and the economy with higher long-term borrowing costs.

Treasury bonds jumped, widening the gap between short- and long-term yields to the most in almost four years — a typical reaction to a more dovish Fed.

Bond traders' big bet that the Federal Reserve is poised to lower interest rates faces a key moment this week as Chair Jerome Powell gets a chance to weigh in on the economy.

US Treasuries, coming off their best day so far this year on Friday, held onto most of the move to start a week featuring a heavy slate of note and bond auctions.

Bond investors enter a frenetic week comprising the latest Treasury view on quarterly debt sales, a Federal Reserve meeting, and plenty of data crowned by the July jobs report.  

The dollar rose after a better-than-estimated retail sales report and a drop in jobless claims reinforced speculation the Federal Reserve will stay on hold for now. Stocks and bonds wavered.

Treasuries slipped ahead of a sale of 30-year US bonds that will provide a fresh test of demand for the type of long-dated government debt that has been under pressure globally.

US Treasuries fell for a fifth day as demand for long-term government debt across the globe wanes amid a flurry of bond auctions this week.

Treasury yields rose Monday led by long-maturity tenors as investors preoccupied with the potential fallout of US tariffs looked ahead to auctions later this week.

Treasuries fell for a second day, pulled lower by a selloff the UK bond market, as traders shifted their attention to a report on the US jobs market on Thursday. 

The Treasury's need to finance growing debt is the unspoken factor in the discussion of monetary policy and housing costs, the Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors argues.