Mortgage Rates Fall for the First Time in a Month

Mortgage rates fell for the first time in a month, cutting costs for buyers during the housing market's busiest time of the year.

The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage slipped to 3.84% from 3.85% last week, Freddie Mac said in a statement Thursday, while the average 15-year rate declined to 3.05% from 3.07%.

Mortgage rates have fluctuated within a range of about a quarter percentage point this year as investors try to guess the Federal Reserve's timetable for ending the near-zero rates it has given banks to encourage them to lend.

The shift probably won't happen by the end of June, according to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's April meeting, released Wednesday. While the overnight lending rate doesn't directly impact home-loan rates, it influences mortgage investors who worry about inflation.

"We know the general direction of mortgage rates will be higher this year as the economy gets stronger," said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics Inc. "With the economy at full employment, the housing market will be able to gracefully digest it."

The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage probably will reach 4.3% by the fourth quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. It probably won't break 5% until mid-2016, the trade group said in a forecast this week. Home lending probably will total $1.3 trillion this year, up 14% from 2014, as economic improvements spur gains in home sales and prices, according to the association.

Bloomberg News
Originations GSEs Housing
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