Toronto leads Canada's biggest gain in home sales this year

Canadian home sales rose in June at the fastest pace this year, led by a 17% surge in Toronto, a sign the market may be regaining strength.

Transactions climbed 4.1% from May after touching a five-year low, the Canadian Real Estate Association reported Monday from Ottawa. Benchmark prices fell 0.1% on the month and advanced 0.9% from a year earlier.

Home sales had declined through most of 2018 after the government made it more difficult to get a mortgage and the central bank raised interest rates. Both measures constrained buyers, causing sharp declines in sales particularly for the most-expensive properties.

The market seems to be through the worst of that adjustment, at least for now. Bank of Canada policy makers said last week the housing market appears to be stabilizing.

Toronto
A pedestrian crosses a bridge as condominium buildings stand in downtown Toronto, Ontario, Canada, on Thursday, May 10, 2018. The dollar value of building permits for multiple-unit homes exceeded single-unit properties for the first time on a quarterly basis between January and March. Photographer: Cole Burston/Bloomberg

The report is "in line" with what policy makers would want to see, which is "the market recalibrating, if you will, and moving gradually higher," Dawn Desjardins, assistant chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada, said by phone from Toronto. The strong job market is supporting demand, she said, though sales for 2018 will still decline because of weakness early in the year.

Sales increased in about 60% of markets tracked by CREA, including a 1% gain in Montreal, Canada's second-most populous city. Vancouver sales fell 1.3%. Toronto's sales gain was the biggest in 14 years on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the Bank of Montreal.

"The national increase in June home sales suggests activity may indeed be starting to turn the corner," Gregory Klump, CREA's chief economist, said in the report. "Looking ahead, home sales activity and price gains will likely be held in check by higher interest rates."

The national average sale price fell 1.3% in June from a year earlier to C$495,797 ($377,319), the smallest such decline in the last five months.

Sales dropped 11% from a year earlier, and the total was 7% below June's 10-year average.

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