CBO: FHA Bill Will Fall Far Short

A Federal Housing Administration bill approved by the House Financial Services Committee last week will fall far short of its goal of helping 1 million at-risk borrowers avoid foreclosure, according to budget analysts. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the FHA refinancing bill (H.R. 5830) would refinance only 500,000 homeowners into FHA loans during the life of the four-year program, when 2.8 million borrowers are expected to face foreclosure proceedings. The budget analysts note that the bill requires holders of first liens to write down loans to about 85% of the current appraised value, and they would have "an incentive to direct their highest-risk loan into the program." Other liens must be extinguished, which leaves little incentive for second lienholders to participate, unless a foreclosure sale is imminent. About 40% of subprime and alternative-A mortgages have second liens. "CBO estimates about 25% of the loans with second liens could be refinanced under this new program," the agency said.