Mortgage Rates Drop as Japan Crisis Puts Pressure on Yields

The average Freddie Mac survey rate for a 30-year mortgage dropped 12 basis points to 4.76% during the week ending March 17 in response to downward pressure on bond yields stemming from the Japanese crisis.

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Moreover, anecdotal evidence suggest that lenders are beginning to see an uptick in all application types.

The 15-year rate during the same week hit a low not seen since December at 3.97%. This was down from 4.15% the previous week and 4.33% a year ago. The 30-year rate was 4.96% a year ago. During the most recent week, 30- and 15-year mortgages had an average of 0.7 of a point.

Shorter-term rates also slid during the week ending March 17. The five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.57% with an average 0.6 of a point, down from 3.73% the previous week and 4.09% a year ago. The average one-year Treasury ARM rate during the most recent week was 3.17% with an average 0.6 of a point, down from 3.21% the previous week and 4.12% a year ago.

Meanwhile, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's application index (which covers a period roughly a week earlier than Freddie's survey), overall apps on a seasonally adjusted basis saw a 0.7% drop week-to-week but the seasonally-adjusted four-week moving average was up 4.9%. On an unadjusted basis during the week ending March 11, applications fell 0.5%.

During the week ending March 11, the MBA index pegged refi apps at a high not seen since December 2010, rising 0.9% to represent 66.4% of total applications from 65.5% the week previous.

The MBA's seasonally adjusted purchase index during the week ending March 11 was down 4% and down 3.2% on an unadjusted basis.

Compared to a year ago on an unadjusted basis the purchase index was 15.5% lower. The seasonally adjusted four-week moving average for purchases was up 1.6% compared to a gain of 6.6% in the four-week moving average for refi apps.


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