Home Prices in U.S. Cities Rose Less Than Forecast in February

Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose less than forecast in February from a year earlier, which bodes well for prospective buyers.

The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values in 20 cities increased 5.4% from February 2015, the smallest gain since October, after climbing 5.7% in the year ended in January, a report from the group showed Tuesday in New York. The median projection of 25 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 5.5% advance. Nationally, prices rose 5.3% year-over-year.

Measured price gains may bring homeownership within reach of more Americans, especially first-time buyers and those with low incomes. The additional support is needed, especially with wages remaining sluggish, as recent reports showed demand lacked momentum heading into the busiest selling season of the year.

More moderate price growth "would re-energize the housing market," Thomas Costerg, a senior U.S. economist at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, said before the report. "Prices will see slower appreciation. Hopefully, incomes will accelerate and affordability will improve. We need housing strength at this time" when manufacturing and exports are weighing on the economy.

Economists' estimates in the Bloomberg survey ranged from gains of 5.3% to 5.8%.

All 20 cities in the index showed a year-over-year gain, led by an 11.9% increase in Portland, Ore. Seattle and Denver showed the second- and third-fastest rates of appreciation.

The year-over-year gauge provides better indications of trends in prices, the group has said. The panel includes Karl Case and Robert Shiller, the economists who created the index.

"The pace is easing off in the most recent numbers," David Blitzer, chairman of the S&P index committee, said in a statement.

On a monthly basis, home prices in the 20-city index adjusted for seasonal variations climbed 0.7%. Just half posted increases that were larger than in January. The Bloomberg survey median called for a 0.8% increase. Unadjusted values increased 0.2% from the previous month.

Recent reports on residential real estate have been mixed, indicating the industry lacked momentum heading into the busy spring selling season. New home sales unexpectedly declined for a third month in March, falling 1.5% to an annualized rate of 511,000 houses. The market for previously owned homes improved last month, climbing 5.1% to a 5.33 million annualized rate.

In addition, residential starts slumped in March, and homebuilder sentiment was little changed in April, other figures showed.

Bloomberg News
Originations Housing Real estate
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