Loan-Value Data Shows Ills Persist

The fair value of loans held by the nation's largest commercial banks continues to decline, indicating that credit markets have not yet turned around and raising serious questions about the effectiveness of the government's efforts to help the industry through the credit crisis. Among the banks that were stress-tested by the government in May, the difference between carrying values and fair values grew 14.4% from Dec. 31 to June 30 - to $164.4 billion. Observers said the data shows that it is getting even more difficult to find buyers for stressed loans and that banks' efforts to jettison bad assets could be delayed. And if the Financial Accounting Standards Board advances a sweeping mark-to-market proposal, some banks might have to raise more capital to close their valuation gaps. "It is clearly a sign of stress that surprises me," said Tim Yeager, a finance professor at the University of Arkansas and a former economist at the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. "I thought by now that we would have turned the corner, but things seem to be getting worse."