MBA Boosts Origination Forecast to Catch Up with Refis

The recent rise in refinance applications has prompted economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association to boost their origination forecast for the second half of this year by over $90 billion. 

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MBA is estimating that lenders will originate nearly $517 billion in single-family loans during the second half, according to the new forecast issued Friday afternoon.

One month ago, MBA estimated originations would total just $426 billion during the third and fourth quarters combined.

MBA's application index shows refinance applications are up 10% over the past four weeks as the interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages has fallen to historic lows.

"Lower rates continue to boost refinance volumes above our earlier projections," said MBA chief economist Jay Brinkmann.

"For the market as a whole, we are now projecting total mortgage originations to be $1.1 trillion in 2011, up about $100 billion from our earlier projection," he said.


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